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Xenocrypt is not with you


(Scott Johnson)

We have been following the various left-wing movers and shakers who have who have joined Power Line readers mischievously pulling for Minnesota Fifth District Rep. Keith Ellison to emerge victorious in his bid to chair the Democratic National Committee, most recently yesterday in “Dems in 5 states are with you.” Ellison hasn’t won a competitive election since the multicandidate Democratic primary which he won with 41 percent of the vote in September 2006.

Ellison went on to win the election against GOP candidate Alan Fine in November 2006. He has won his campaigns for reelection against other GOP candidates. But Minnesota’s Fifth District is one of the most Democratic in the country and the Star Tribune is the dominant media voice. Its political reporters have served us Ellison’s cheerleaders and protectors. Ellison can hold the seat for as long as he wants, but he is bored in the House. As I deduced from his memoir cum manifesto My Country, ‘Tis of Thee in 2014, life as a representative in the House minority doesn’t suit Ellison, and he obviously senses the opportunity to take his radicalism to a mainstream left-wing audience.

In his bid for the chairmanship, Ellison has sold himself as a genius of turnout. He proclaims his success in turning out voters in his one-party district. Like so many of his claims about himself, this one appears to be somewhere south of true and unexamined by the mainstream media.

Now at the site Medium comes Xenocrypt to take a look. Xenocrypt finds Ellison’s turnout numbers to be — how to put it? — “questionable.” If you’ve been following the DNC race so far, this is almost funny:

Unfortunately, while I have no personal opinion about whether he’d be a good DNC chair or not, most of Ellison’s numbers are misleading. He makes comparisons across years with different boundaries, uses absolute totals instead of percentages, and doesn’t mention how his own initial vote total was depressed by a third-party candidate. When more conventional metrics are used, there’s little evidence of increasing turnout in Ellison’s districts, and in fact turnout may be decreasing.

I highly recommend the whole thing here.

Via Patrick Coolican/Morning Hot Dish (the Star Tribune email newsletter).

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